This is my first post in quite a while. Sorry to the 3 of you who might have been perturbed … other pursuits got in the way.
Anyway, MLB season is around the corner (< 10 days), so I thought I’d post my predictions. This will come in three installments:
- The MLB preseason ranking determined by my Baseball Mogul 2009 simulations of the 2009 season.
- An indepth look at the simulations with division-by-division blows.
- My real picks that combine the simulations with good, old fashioned hunches (how do you think I got the Philly pick right last year?)
So, without further ado, here are the rankings. I ran 150 simulations of the 2009 season (plus 25 seasons to run an “ARod” correction – see the second installment for details), and this is the rankings by total wins for 2009. Enjoy!
- New York Yankees
- Boston Red Sox
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Minnesota Twins
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- New York Mets
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Chicago Cubs
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Detroit Tigers
- Seattle Mariners
- Houston Astros
- Los Angeles Angels
- Cleveland Indians
- Atlanta Braves
- Baltimore Orioles
- Oakland A’s
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- San Francisco Giants
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Florida Marlins
- Kansas City Royals
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Chicago White Sox
- Cincinnati Reds
- San Diego Padres
- Colorado Rockies
- Washington Nationals
- Texas Rangers