MLB Preseason Rankings … sort of!

This is my first post in quite a while. Sorry to the 3 of you who might have been perturbed … other pursuits got in the way.

Anyway, MLB season is around the corner (< 10 days), so I thought I’d post my predictions. This will come in three installments:

  1. The MLB preseason ranking determined by my Baseball Mogul 2009 simulations of the 2009 season.
  2. An indepth look at the simulations with division-by-division blows.
  3. My real picks that combine the simulations with good, old fashioned hunches (how do you think I got the Philly pick right last year?)

So, without further ado, here are the rankings. I ran 150 simulations of the 2009 season (plus 25 seasons to run an “ARod” correction – see the second installment for details), and this is the rankings by total wins for 2009. Enjoy!

  1. New York Yankees
  2. Boston Red Sox
  3. Philadelphia Phillies
  4. Minnesota Twins
  5. Los Angeles Dodgers
  6. New York Mets
  7. St. Louis Cardinals
  8. Chicago Cubs
  9. Arizona Diamondbacks
  10. Detroit Tigers
  11. Seattle Mariners
  12. Houston Astros
  13. Los Angeles Angels
  14. Cleveland Indians
  15. Atlanta Braves
  16. Baltimore Orioles
  17. Oakland A’s
  18. Milwaukee Brewers
  19. Pittsburgh Pirates
  20. San Francisco Giants
  21. Toronto Blue Jays
  22. Florida Marlins
  23. Kansas City Royals
  24. Tampa Bay Rays
  25. Chicago White Sox
  26. Cincinnati Reds
  27. San Diego Padres
  28. Colorado Rockies
  29. Washington Nationals
  30. Texas Rangers

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