So, I reran the Diamond Mind Online simulations of the Rays-Phils World Series with the new knowledge of the Rays rotation order, and well, Joe Maddon might be onto something.
This time, the Rays easily dispatched the Phils 4-1. The MVP was Evan Longoria, who crushed Phillies when it counted. Akonori Iwamura also had a good series, hitting over .400.
Quick Game Summaries:
Game 1: Philadelphia 4 – Tampa 0
- W: Cole Hamels (9 IP/0 ER/8 K); L: Kazmir (6 IP/3 ER/8 K)
- Jimmy Rollins: 2/5, RBI; Victorino 3/4, RBI. Hamels was dominant.
Game 2: Tampa 5 – Philadelphia 4
- W: Chad Bradford; L: Chad Durbin; Sv: David Price.
- Starters: Brett Myers 7 IP/0 ER/8 K; James Shields 7 IP/3 ER/10 K. The Philly bullpen imploded in the 8th, giving up a 2R pinch-hit HR to Rocco Baldelli.
- B.J. Upton 2/4, RBI; Jayson Werth 1/4, 2 RBI; Pat Burrell 1/4 HR; Shane Victorino 1/4 HR
Game 3: Tampa 6 – Philadelphia 2
- W: Matt Garza (6.2 IP/2 ER/7 K); L: Jamie Moyer (4.2 IP/5 ER/4 K); Sv: David Price
- Akinori Iwamura 4/5, 2R; B.J. Upton 3/5, RBI; Dioner Navarro 1/3, 2 RBI; Victorino and Chase Utley, 2 H each. Moyer came unglued in the 5th, throwing 2 WP.
Game 4: Tampa 9 – Philadelphia 6 (Tampa leads 3-1)
- W: Andrew Sonnanstine (5.1 IP/5 ER/5 K); L: Joe Blanton (2.0 IP/6 ER/1 K)
- 2 IP of 0 ER relief from J.A. Happ and Ryan Madson; 3 IP of 1 ER relief from Grant Balfour.
- Evan Longoria 2/3, 2 HR, 5 RBI; Carlos Pena 2/4, 3R, 3 RBI, HR; Iwamura 2/4; HR for Howard in 9th. Blanton was terrible.
Game 5: Tampa 3 – Philadelphia 1 (Tampa wins Series 4-1)
- W: Kazmir (6.1 IP/1 ER/13 K); L: Cole Hamels (7 IP/3 ER/10 K); Sv: David Price
- Longoria 2/4 RBI; Iwamura 2/5; Upton 2/5; Rollins 2/5; Feliz 1/4 HR. Kazmir struck out the first 11 batters he faced. Hamels was good, but not good enough.
If anything can be culled from this is that Philadelphia might strike its way out of the championship. The K totals for the Tampa starters: 8, 10, 7, 5, 13. Not pretty.
So, in my quest to not make my World Series pick based on gut and heart alone, I decided to simulate the World Series using Diamond Mind Online. Unfortunately for the Phillies, it doesn’t turn out as well as I had hoped.
Tampa won the series 4-3 for their first World Series championship. The Series MVP was none other than James Shields, who won games 3 and 7.
NOTE 10/20/08: Of course, the minute I did this, I read that Kazmir will start game 1. I will redo the sims considering Tampa’s revised rotation. Bah!
For your entertainment, here are the summaries of the 7 game series (remember, games 1,2,6,7 in Tampa and games 3-5 in Philadelphia):
Game 1: Tampa 6 – Philadelphia 4 (Tampa leads 1-0)
- W: Edwin Jackson; L: Chad Durbin; Sv: David Price
- Summary: Philly starter Cole Hamels was not at his sharpest, giving up 4 ER in 5.1 IP with 5K. Tampa starter Andrew Sonnanstine didn’t fare much better, surrendering 4 ER in 6.1 IP with 4K. Ryan Howard did put the Phillies ahead at one point with a HR, while Greg Dobbs went 2/4. However, that was no match for B.J. Upton, who went 3/4 with 2 HR and 4 RBI.
Game 2: Philadelphia 7 – Tampa 4 (Tied 1-1)
- W: Brett Myers; L: Scott Kazmir
- Summary: Brett Myers took over as the Philadelphia ace, throwing 6.1 innings with 3 ER and 7 K, holding Tampa off balance. On the flipside, Scott Kazmir imploded in the first inning, giving up 4 ER, but he did end up hanging around for 5 innings, giving up 5 ER with 3 BB and 6 K. Philly closer Brad Lidge gave up a 9th inning HR to Evan Longoria, too. Shane Victorino got 2 H and scored 2 R, while Pedro Feliz drove in 2 on 0 H.
Game 3: Tampa 4 – Philadelphia 2 (Tampa leads 2-1)
- W: James Shields; L: Ryan Madson: Sv: David Price
- Summary: James Shields was nearly outpitched by Jamie Moyer, both going 6 IP and giving up 2 ER (with Shields striking out 5 to Moyer’s 0), but Shields came out with the win when Ryan Madson gave up a PH HR to Eric Hinske. Chad Bradford added 2 innings of 0 H, 2K relief. The only real offense for Philly consisted of Pedro Feliz’s HR as they floundered at home.
Game 4: Tampa 5 – Philadelphia 3 (Tampa lead 3-1)
- W: Chad Bradford; L: Chad Durbin; Sv: David Price
- Summary: The Philadelphia bullpen blew another game, this time Chad Durbin did the damage, giving up a big 2 run hit to Jason Bartlett in the top of the 9th. Evan Longoria hit a HR earlier off Philly starter Joe Blanton, who went 6 innings and gave up 2 ER with 4 K. Matt Garza was good, but not great, allowing 3 ER in 6 IP with 4 K, while David Price racked up his third save. The Phillies got 2 RBI from Pat Burrell and 2 H from Shane Victorino.
Game 5: Philadelphia 10 – Tampa 2 (Tampa leads 3-2)
- W: Cole Hamels; L: Andrew Sonnanstine
- Summary: This was the type of game that Philly hoped it would get at home, it only took 2 games to get there. Ryan Howard also finally decided to show up, going 3/4 with 3 RBI and a HR. Jayson Werth added 2 RBI, 3 H and a HR, while Pedro Feliz went deep for his own 2R HR. Cole Hamels pitched well, striking out 11 over 6 IP with 1 ER and Sonnanstine fared poorly, giving up 5 ER in 4 IP. Carlos Pena was one bright spot for Tampa, going 2/4 with 2 doubles.
Game 6: Philadelphia 4 – Tampa 2 (Tied 3-3)
- W: Brett Myers; L: Scott Kazmir; Sv: Brad Lidge
- Summary: Scott Kazmir got bombed again, lasting only 4.2 IP, yielding 4 ER with 7 BB and 5 K. The biggest hit was Geoff Jenkins grand slam after Kazmir walked the bases loaded. Pedro Feliz also went 3/4. Brett Myers again pitched well, 6 IP with 2 ER and 5K. Carl Crawford went 2/4 and Longoria drove in a run in the losing effort.
Game 7: Tampa 4 – Philadelphia 1 (Tampa wins 4-3)
- W: James Shields; L: Jamie Moyer; Sv: Chad Bradford
- Summary: James Shields decided to take Tampa all the way to the top, coming 2 outs from a CG, striking out 7 and allowing only 1 ER. Chad Bradford came in to get the save and finish Tampa’s World Series run. The big hit was Rocco Baldelli’s 2R HR off Jamie Moyer, who performed admirably, allowing 3 ER in 6 IP with 2K. Philadelphia did get on base a lot, with Burrell, Utley and Victorino all getting 2 H, but none would score except for Burrell on a solo HR. If anything killed the Phillies chances to win the Series is Jimmy Rollins inability to get on base most of the Series.
So, there you have it. My heart says Philly will win, but Tampa does seem like a better team on paper. In any case, sounds like an exciting series.